- (2024) Zheng, F., K. Li, J. Zhu, J.-Y. Yu, and N. Keenlyside, 2024: Advancing Annual Global Mean Surface Temperature Prediction to 2 Months Lead Using Physics Based Strategy, npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, in press.
- (2024) Li, P., F. Zheng, X. Fang, and J.-Y. Yu, 2024: The Advance of El Nino Phase Locking from Period 1982-2000 To 2001-2022, Environmental Research Communications, 6, 081004, DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ad6b04.
- (2024) Li, X., J.-Y. Yu, R. Ding, J. Hu, and P.-F. Tuo, 2024: Asymmetric Efficacies between Warm and Cold Pacific Meridional Modes in Inducing ENSO, Geophysical Research Letters, 51, e2024GL108924, DOI: 10.1029/2024GL108924. [PDF]
- (2024) Zhu, T. and J.-Y. Yu, 2024: Distinguishing Impacts on Winter Temperatures in Northern Mid-to-High Latitude Continents during Multi-year and Single-year La Nina events: A Modeling Study, Journal of Climate, 37, 3943-3958. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0296.1. [PDF]
- (2024) Xiao, H.-M., H.-H. Hsu, T.-H. Lee, B.-T. Jong, J.-Y. Yu, Y.-Ch. Liang, and M.-H. Lo, 2024: The remote response in the Northern Pacific climate during winter to deforestation in the Maritime Continent, Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmosphere, 129, e2023JD040372. DOI: 10.1029/2023JD040372.
- (2024) Li, X, J.-Y. Yu, and R. Ding, 2024: El Nino-La Nina Asymmetries in the Changes of ENSO Complexities and Dynamics Since 1990, Geophysical Research Letters, 51, e2023GL106395. DOI: 10.1029/2023GL106395. [PDF]
- (2024) Ding, R., K. Ji, J.-Y. Yu, J. Li, Z.-Z. Hu, Y.-H. Tseng, J. Shi, Y. Zhao, and C. Sun, 2024: Enhanced North Pacific Victoria mode in a warming climate, npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 7, 49. DOI:10.1038/s41612-024-00599-0.
- (2024) Li, X., R. Ding, Y.-H. Tseng, J.-Y. Yu, and X. Xu, 2024: Mutual Influences Between ENSO and Its Two Precursor Modes in the Extratropical South Pacific, Climate Dynamics, DOI:10.1007/s00382-023-07054-5.
- (2024) Lin, Y.-F. and J.-Y. Yu, 2024: The role of Indian Ocean in controlling the formation of multi-year El Ninos through subtropical ENSO dynamics, Journal of Climate, 37, 385-401. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0297.1. [PDF]
- (2023) Wu, C.-R., Y.-F. Lin, I.-I. Lin, and J.-Y. Yu, 2023: Unleashing the Power of the Sun: The Increasing Impact of the Solar Cycle on Off-Season Super Typhoons since the 1990s, npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 6, 166. DOI: 10.1038/s41612-023-00495-z. [PDF]
- (2023) Kim, J.-W., J.-Y. Yu, and B. Tian, 2023: Overemphasized role of preceding strong El Nino in generating multi-year La Nina events, Nature Communications, 14, 6790. DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-42373-5. [PDF]
- (2023) Lee, T.-H., J.-Y. Yu, Y.-F. Lin, M.-H. Lo, and H.-M. Xiao, 2023: The Potential Influence of Maritime Continent Deforestation on El Nino-Southern Oscillation: Insights from Idealized Modeling Experiments, Geophysical Research Letters, 50, e2023GL105012, DOI: 10.1029/2023GL105012. [PDF]
- (2023) Zhao, Y. and J.-Y. Yu, 2023: Two Marine Heat Wave (MHW) Variants under a Basin-wide MHW Conditioning Mode in the North Pacific and Their Atlantic Associations, Journal of Climate, 36, 8657-8674. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0156.1. [PDF]
- (2023) Song, W., J.-Y. Yu, and T. Lian 2023: The Efficacy of Tropical and Extratropical Predictors for Long-lead ENSO Prediction: A Study Using a Machine Learning Algorithm, International Journal of Climatology, 43, 6887-6899. DOI: 10.1002/joc.8241. [PDF]
- (2023) Lin, Y.-F., C.-T. Terng, C.-R. Wu, and J.-Y. Yu, 2023: Seasonally-reversed trends in the subtropical Northwestern Pacific linked to asymmetric AMO influences, Scientific Reports, 13, 13735. DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-40979-9. [PDF]
- (2023) Kim, J.-W., T.-H. Chang, C.-T. Lee, and J.-Y. Yu, 2023: Evaluating ENSO's Spatiotemporal Complexity in the CWB CFS 1-Tiered Model Hindcasts, Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 128, e2022JD038200. doi:10.1029/2022JD038200. [PDF]
- (2023) Ding, R., H. Namchi, J.-Y. Yu, T. Li, C. Sun, J. Li, Y.-H. Tseng, X. Li, F. Xie, J. Feng, and X. Li, 2023: North Atlantic Oscillation controls multidecadal changes in the North Tropical Atlantic-Pacific connection, Nature Communications, 14, 862. doi:10.1038/s41467-023-36564-3
- (2022) Hu, Hsun-Ming, Valerie Trouet, Christoph Spotl, Hsien-Chen Tsai, Wei-Yi Chien, Wen-Hui Sung, Veronique Michel, Jin-Yi Yu, Patricia Valensi, Xiuyang Jiang, Fucai Duan, Yongjin Wang, Horng-Sheng Mii, Yu-Min Chou, Mahjoor Lone, Chung-Che Wu, Elisabetta Starnini, Marta Zunino, Takaaki Watanabe, Tsuyoshi Watanabe, Huang-Hsiung Hsu, G.W.K. Moore, Giovanni Zanchetta, Carlos Perez-Mejias, Shih-Yu Lee, and Chuan-Chou Shen, 2022: Tracking westerly wind directions over Europe since the middle Holocene, Nature Communications, 13, 7866. doi:s41467-022-34952-9.
- (2022) Zhu, T. and J.-Y. Yu, 2022: A shifting tripolar pattern of Antarctic sea ice concentration anomalies during multi-year La Nina events, Geophysical Research Letters, 49, e2022GL101217. DOI:10.1029/2022GL101217. [PDF]
- (2022) Kim, J.-W. and J.-Y. Yu, 2022: Single- and multi-year ENSO events controlled by pantropical climate interactions, npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 5, 88. doi:10.1038/s41612-022-00305-y. [PDF]
- (2022) Ding, R., Y.-H. Tseng, E. Di Lorenzo, L. Shi, J. Li, J.-Y. Yu, C. Wang, C. Sun, J.-J. Luo, K.-J. Ha, Z.-Z. Hu, and F. Li, 2022: Multi-year El Nino events tied to the North Pacific Oscillation, Nature Communications, 13, 3871 (2022). DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-31516-9.
- (2022) Xiao, H.-M., M.-H. Lo, and J.-Y. Yu, 2022: The Increased Frequency of Combined El Nino and Positive IOD events since 1965s and Its Impacts on Maritime Continent Hydroclimates, Scientific Reports, 12, 7532 (2022). doi:10.1038/s41598-022-11663-1. [PDF]
- (2022) Chen, J., J.-Y. Yu, S. Chen, X. Wang, Z. Xiao, and S.-W. Fang, 2022: Tropical and Subtropical Pacific Sources of the Asymmetric El Nino-La Nina Decay and their Future Changes, Geophysical Research Letters, 49, e2022GL097751. doi:10.1029/2022GL097751.
- (2022) Chen, N., X. Fang, and J.-Y. Yu, 2022: A Multiscale Model for El Nino Complexity, npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 5 (6). doi:10.1038/s41612-022-00241-x. [PDF]
- (2021) Qian, W., Y. Ai, J.-Y. Yu, J. Du, 2021: Opposite anomalous synoptic patterns for potential California large wildfire spread and extinguishing in 2018 cases, Atmospheric Research, 262, 105804, DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2021.105804.
- (2021) Chen, M., J.-Y. Yu, X. Wang, and S. Chen, 2021: Distinct onset mechanisms of two subtypes of CP El Nino and their changes in future warming, Geophysical Research Letters. doi:10.1029/2021GL093707. [PDF]
- (2021) Lin, I-I, R. F. Rogers, H.-C. Huang, Y.-C. Liao, D. Herndon, J.-Y. Yu, Y.-T. Chang, J. A. Zhang, C. M. Patricola, I.-F. Pun, C.-C. Lien, 2021: A Tale of Two Rapidly-Intensifying Supertyphoons: Hagibis (2019) and Haiyan (2013), Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0223.1.
- (2021) Kim, J.-W., T.-H. Chang, C.-T. Lee, and J.-Y. Yu, 2021: On the Varying Responses of East Asian Winter Monsoon to Three Types of El Nino: Observations and Model Hindcasts, Journal of Climate, 34, 4089-4101. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0784.1. [PDF]
- (2021) Lin, Y.-F., J.-Y. Yu, C.-R. Wu, and F. Zheng, 2021: The footprint of the 11-year solar cycle in Northeastern Pacific SSTs and its influence on the Central Pacific El Nino, Geophysical Research Letters. 48, e2020GL091369. DOI: 10.1029/2020GL091369. [PDF]
- (2021) Kim, J.-W. and J.-Y. Yu, 2021: Evolution of Subtropical Pacific-Onset El Nino: How its Onset Location Controls its Decay Evolution, Geophysical Research Letters, 48, e2020GL091345. DOI: 10.1029/2020GL091345. [PDF]
- (2021) Mamalakis, A., J. T. Randerson, J.-Y. Yu, M. S. Pritchard, G. Magnusdottir, P. Smyth, P. A. Levine, S. Yu, and & E. Foufoula-Georgiou, 2021: Zonally contrasting shifts of the tropical rain belt in response to climate change, Nature Climate Change, 11, 143-151. DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-00963-x.
- (2021) Chen, M., T.-H. Chang, C.-T. Lee, S.-W. Fang, and J.-Y. Yu, 2021: A Study of Climate Model Responses of the Western Pacific Subtropical High to El Nino Diversity, Climate Dynamics, 56, 581-595. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05500-2.
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- (2020) Kug, J.-S., J. Vialard ,Y.-G. Ham, J.-Y. Yu, and M. Lengaigne, 2020: ENSO remote forcing: Influence of climate variability outside the tropical Pacific, Book Chapter in El Nino Southern Oscillation in a Changing Climate, M. J. McPhaden, A. Santoso, and W. Cai (Ed.), Geophysical Monograph 253, page 247-265. doi:10.1002/9781119548164.ch11.
- (2020) Zhang, L.-Y., Y. Du, W. Cai, T. Tomoki, and J.-Y. Yu, 2020: Triggering the Indian Ocean Dipole from the Southern Hemisphere, Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e2020GL088648. DOI: 10.1029/2020GL088648.
- (2020) Fang, S.-W. and J.-Y. Yu, 2020: Contrasting transition complexity between El Nino and La Nina: Observations and CMIP5/6 models, Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e2020GL088926. DOI: 10.1029/2020GL088926. [PDF]
- (2020) He, S., J.-Y. Yu, S. Yang, and S.-W. Fang 2020: Why does the CP El Nino less frequently evolve into La Nina than the EP El Nino?, Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e2020GL087876. DOI: 10.1029/2020GL087876. [PDF]
- (2020) Kim, J.-W. and J.-Y. Yu, 2020: Understanding Re-intensified Multi-year El Nino Events, Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e2020GL087933. doi:10.1029/2020GL087644. [PDF]
- (2020) Fang, S.-W. and J.-Y. Yu, 2020:
A Control of ENSO Transition Complexity by Tropical Pacific Mean SSTs through Tropical-Subtropical Interaction, Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e2020GL087933. doi:10.1029/2020GL087933. [PDF]
- (2020) Yu, J.-Y., E. Campos, Y. Du, T. Eldevik, S. T. Gille, T. Losada, M. J. McPhaden, L. H. Smedsrud, 2020: Variability of the Oceans, Book Chapter in Interacting Climates of Ocean Basins, C. R. Mechoso (Ed.), Cambridge University Press, page 1-36. DOI: 10.1017/9781108610995.
- (2020) He, S., J.-Y. Yu, S. Yang, and S.-W. Fang, 2020:
ENSO's impacts on the tropical Indian and Atlantic Oceans via tropical Processes: CMIP5 simulations versus observations, Climate Dynamics, 54(11), 4627-4640. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05247-w. [PDF]
- (2020) Chen, J., J.-Y. Yu, X. Wang, L. Tao, 2020: Different influences of southeastern Indian Ocean and western Indian Ocean SST anomalies on eastern China rainfall during the decaying summer of 2015/16 extreme El Nino, Journal of Climate, 33, 5427-5443. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0777.1. [PDF]
- (2020) Wang, J. K., J.-Y. Yu, and K. R. Johnson, 2020: Pacific and Atlantic controls of the relationship between Mainland Southeast Asian and East China interannual precipitation variability, Climate Dynamics, 54, 4279-4292. doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05227-0.
- (2020) Hu, Z.-Z., M. J. McPhaden, A. Kumar, J.-Y. Yu, and N. C. Johnson, 2020: Uncoupled El Nino Warming, Geophysical Research Letters, 47 (7), e2020GL08762. DOI: 10.1029/2020GL087621.
- (2020) Hu, Z.-Z., A. Kumar, B. Huang, J. Zhu, M. L'Heureux, M. J. McPhaden, and J.-Y. Yu, 2020: The Interdecadal Shift of ENSO Properties in 1999/2000: A Review, Journal of Climate, 33 (11), 4441-4462. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0316.1. [PDF]
- (2019) Song, W. and J.-Y. Yu, 2019: Identifying the complex types of atmosphere-ocean interactions in El Nino, Environmental Research Letters, 14, 114030, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab4968. [PDF]
- (2019) Wu, C.-R., Y.-F. Lin, Y.-L. Wang, N. Keenlyside, and J.-Y. Yu, 2019: An Atlantic-driven rapid circulation change in the North Pacific Ocean during the late 1990s, Scientific Reports, 9, 1-8, DOI: 10.1038/s41598-019-51076-1. [PDF]
- (2019) Mamalakis, A., J.-Y. Yu, J. Randerson, A. AghaKouchak, and E. Foufoula-Georgiou, 2019: Correspondence: The New Zealand Index and its interhemispheric influence on the northwestern Pacific climate, Nature Communications, 10, DOI: 10.1038/s41467-019-10531-3. [PDF]
- (2019) Chen, C.-C., M.-H. Lo, E.-S. Im, J.-Y. Yu, Y.-C. Liang, W.-T. Chen, I. Tang, C.-W. Lan, R.-J. Wu, R.-Y. Chien, 2019: Thermodynamic and dynamic responses to deforestation in the Maritime Continent: A modeling study, Journal of Climate, 32, 3505-3527, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0310.1.
[PDF]
- (2019) Cai, W., L. Wu, M. Lengaigne, T. Li, S. McGregor, J. Kug, J.-Y. Yu, M. F. Stuecker, A. Santoso, X. Li, Y.-G. Ham, Y. Chikamoto1, B. Ng, M. J. McPhaden, Y. Du, D. Dommenget, F. Jia, J. B. Kajtar, N. Keenlyside, X. Lin, J.-J. Luo, M. Martin-Rey, Y. Ruprich-Robert, G. Wang, S.-P. Xie, Y. Yang, S. M. Kang, J.-Y. Choi, B. Gan, G.-I. Kim, C.-E. Kim, S. Kim, J.-H. Kim, P. Chang, 2019: Pan-tropical climate interactions, Science, 363 (6430), eaav4236, DOI: 10.1126/science.aav4236.
- (2019) Chen, M., J.-Y. Yu, X. Wang, and W. Jiang, 2019: The changing impact mechanisms of a diverse El Nino on the Western Pacific Subtropical High, Geophysical Research Letters, 46, 953-962, DOI: 10.1029/2018GL081131. [PDF]
- (2019) Tuo, P., J.-Y. Yu, and J. Hu, 2019: The changing influences of ENSO and the Pacific Meridional Mode on mesoscale eddies in the South China Sea, Journal of Climate, 32, 685-700, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0187.1. [PDF]
- (2019) Xu, L. and J.-Y. Yu, 2019: An ENSO-induced aerosol dipole in the west-central Pacific and its potential feedback to ENSO evolution, Climate Dynamics, 9, 5115-5125. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-018-4435-5. [PDF]
- (2018) Yu, J.-Y. and S.-W. Fang, 2018: The distinct contributions of the seasonal footprinting and charged-discharged mechanisms to ENSO complexity, Geophysical Research Letters, 45, 6611-6618. doi:10.1029/2018GL077664. [PDF]
- (2018) Liang, Y.-C., M. Mazloff, I. Rosso, S.-W. Fang, and J.-Y. Yu, 2018: A Multi-variate Empirical Orthogonal Function Method to Construct Nitrate Maps in the Southern Ocean, Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 35, 1505-1519, doi:10.1175/JTECH-D-18-0018.1. [PDF]
- (2018) Yang, S., Z. Li, J.-Y. Yu, X. Hu, W. Dong, and S. He, 2018: El Nino-Southern Oscillation and Its Impact in the Changing Climate, National Science Review, nwy046, DOI: 10.1093/nsr/nwy046. [PDF]
- (2018) Mamalakis, A., J.-Y. Yu, J.T. Randerson, A. AghaKouchak, and E. Foufoula-Georgiou, 2018: Beyond ENSO: A new teleconnection increases predictability of winter precipitation in southwestern US, Nature Communications, 9, DOI: 10.1038/s41467-018-04722-7. [PDF] *the 50 most read articles (2018) in Nature Communications
- (2018) Wang, L. and J.-Y. Yu, 2018: A Recent Shift in the Monsoon Centers associated with the Tropospheric Biennial Oscillation, Journal of Climate, 31, 325-340, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0349.1. [PDF]
- (2017) Liang, Y.-C., J.-Y. Yu, E. S. Saltzman, and F. Wang, 2017: Linking the Tropical Northern Hemisphere Pattern to the Pacific Warm Blob and Atlantic Cold Blob, Journal of Climate, 30, 9041-9057,DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0149.1. [PDF]
- (2017) Yu, J.-Y., X. Wang, S. Yang, H. Paek, and M. Chen, 2017: The Changing El Nino-Southern Oscillation and Associated Climate Extremes, Book Chapter in Climate Extremes: Patterns and Mechanisms, Wang, S.-Y., Jin-Ho Yoon, Chris Funk, and R. R. Gillies (Ed.), AGU Geophysical Monograph Series, Vol. 226, Pages 3-38. DOI: 10.1002/9781119068020.ch1.
- (2017) Zheng F., J.-Y. Yu, and J. Zhu, 2017: Contrasting the skills and biases of deterministic predictions for the two types of El Nino, Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 34, 1395-1403, DOI: 10.1007/s00376-017-6324-y. [PDF]
- (2017) Lyu, K. and J.-Y. Yu, 2017: Climate impacts of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation simulated in the CMIP5 models: a re-evaluation based on a revised index, Geophysical Research Letters, 44, DOI: 10.1002/2017GL072681. [PDF]
- (2017) Lyu, K., X. Zhang, J. Church, J. Hu, and J.-Y. Yu, 2017: Distinguishing the Quasi-decadal and Multi-decadal Sea Level and Climate Variations in the Pacific: Implications for the ENSO-like Low-frequency Variability, Journal of Climate, 30, 5097-5117, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0004.1. [PDF]
- (2017) Xu, L., J.-Y. Yu, J. Schnell, and M. Prather, 2017: The Seasonality and Geographic Dependence of ENSO Impacts on US Surface Ozone Variability
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