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Outline
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Lecture 10: El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
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El Nino-Southern Oscillation
  •  ENSO is the largest interannual (year-to-year) climate variation signal in the coupled atmosphere-ocean system that has profound impacts on global climate.
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Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean System
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El Nino and Southern Oscillation
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The ENSO Cycle
  • El Nino and La Nina tends to appear in cycle, with one follows the other.
  • è The ENSO Cycle.
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1997-98 El Nino
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1982-83 El Nino
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“Measuring” ENSO
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Subsurface Ocean Observation
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Delayed Oscillator: Wind Forcing
  • The delayed oscillator suggested that oceanic Rossby and Kevin waves forced by atmospheric wind stress in the central Pacific provide the phase-transition mechanism (I.e. memory) for the ENSO cycle.
  • The propagation and reflection of waves, together with local air-sea coupling,  determine the period of the cycle.
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Wave Propagation and Reflection
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Why Only Pacific Has ENSO?
  • Based on the delayed oscillator theory of ENSO, the ocean basin has to be big enough to produce the “delayed” from ocean wave propagation and reflection.
  • It can be shown that only the Pacific Ocean is “big” (wide) enough to produce such delayed for the ENSO cycle.
  • It is generally believed that the Atlantic Ocean may produce ENSO-like oscillation if external forcing are applied to the Atlantic Ocean.
  • Although the Indian Ocean is considered too small to produce ENSO.
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ENSO Simulation by ESS CGCM
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Decadal Changes of ENSO
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How El Nino Changes When Climate Warms?
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How Global Changes Affect El Nino?