Jin-Yi Yu: In this talk, we're going to show that the transition complexity in a nice different family tarnishing compress the 99 and it will explain the reason for this difference and how he mentioned in the future. So first article analogy. My casa, su a from also from UC Irvine.
Jin-Yi Yu: Sort of tarnishing compress the we talk about here. He's referring to the fact that they are three event to event transmission pattern that can be observed.
Jin-Yi Yu: The first pattern is cyclic transmission pattern where an El Nino is product by Latino or Latina followed by
Jin-Yi Yu: El Nino. The second pattern is episodic transmission pattern where an El Nino or La Nina is proceed in the previous either by a neutral condition in the tropical Pacific
Jin-Yi Yu: And assault tradition path is the multi year transition where they only knows, followed by another El Nino or running a photo by another now Nina.
Jin-Yi Yu: So even look at the observation during 1948 to 2016 we're not he started all of this tradition capacity for El Nino is completely opposite
Jin-Yi Yu: From the order of the complexity in 40 Latina. So for me, you know, it is mostly dominated by this episodic television.
Jin-Yi Yu: Photo by second transition, at least by multi years transition. In contrast, most of this, a lot of this La Nina.
Jin-Yi Yu: Even is dominated by this multi year tradition, followed by psychotic in this capacity. So this is the result, tell us one important interesting information.
Jin-Yi Yu: That is quite an arena is dominated by this multi years tradition pattern at the present day climate our nature system.
Jin-Yi Yu: Try to produce more more Tirana for very few more years. El Nino event. So we try to understand what is the reason for this El Nino nanny, not a symmetric
Jin-Yi Yu: And learn and learn from our costs on a study that which transmission pattern to occur. Depends on how about El Nino Ronnie, not even
Jin-Yi Yu: His training triggered by tropical Pacific I'm set process or is triggered by subtropical Pacific unsafe process.
Jin-Yi Yu: You're not studying we find out that if the answer event is triggered by these tropical Pacific process, such as those described by charge discharge.
Jin-Yi Yu: Of oscillator theory, then we find out in a study that those El Nino event. These tropical subtropical I'm so
Jin-Yi Yu: El Nino preceded by La Nina and those tropical I'm still learning. I will proceed in the previous year by El Nino. So the tropical I'm semi cronyism
Jin-Yi Yu: Tend to produce most of the second answer transition make a on, you know, followed by La Nina. Nina, follow me know so these tropical passive I'm sent mechanism cannot be
Jin-Yi Yu: Important for this multi you know multi Amina event. Instead, one of his studies subtropical onset mechanism can produce quite a lot on this multi year El Nino El Nino, followed by on, you know, and also quite another mattila Nina. Nina photo by planning.
Jin-Yi Yu: So without explaining in detail the speaker basically speaker, tell us that among HUNDRED PERCENT OF THIS El Nino, even though was on set by the subtropical process. Hundred percent
Jin-Yi Yu: Cocoa hundred percent about 20 to 30% of these subtropical I'm saying, and you know will show this multi years evolution pattern.
Jin-Yi Yu: And about 40 to 50% of his subtropical onset plan and I even will show the multi years evolution pattern. So by looking at a subtract capacity. I'm saying mechanism along, we will be able to explain why.
Jin-Yi Yu: Nature produce more multi La Nina their multi year and, you know, so let's focus on this subtropical Pacific uncertain mechanism.
Jin-Yi Yu: So when we first use the multi variable, you have an SS a prior to the SST when to extract this subtropical I'm saying mechanism.
Jin-Yi Yu: And this patent tell us that this mechanism. First, or most important is produced the window normally try one and only in the north eastern Pacific region.
Jin-Yi Yu: And happen in this particular phase is that this country when I normally is going to reduce the wind speed over this region and reduce the server. He fast and as a result, will produce roaming outside North American coast.
Jin-Yi Yu: And this initial warming will continue exciting new compassion and is solid and it is no convention center will again induce nail trail and I normally on the southern end and a small children and Ami will again.
Jin-Yi Yu: Enthused know warming center so sold his wing evaporation SSD feedback. This initial warming outside North American region can continue expand Southwest walk into equator to trigger an El Nino event. So in seminary.
Jin-Yi Yu: If we have a strange century when you least north eastern Pacific region this subtropical process will produce a La Nina event.
Jin-Yi Yu: So in this process which has this quite the most important thing to start this whole series of process is we need to have
Jin-Yi Yu: A nominee showing up in the north eastern Pacific region. So now let's focus on understanding how these children are normally cut produced
Jin-Yi Yu: So we find out. Are there are three rate to produce these travel and anomaly and to turn on this subtropical answer mechanism. So the first
Jin-Yi Yu: Way is when I know that is the chairman and normally is associated with autonomous vehicle disturbance that is well known as often call us nonspecific say that so nice.