Jin-Yi Yu: In this talk, I'm going to show that the transition complexity in El Nino is different from the transition compress the in La Nina.
Jin-Yi Yu: And we'll explain what's the reason for this difference and how you mentioned in the future. So my courses. So a from also from us here, right.
Jin-Yi Yu: So here the transition compressing we talk about is referring to the fact that they are three event to event.
Jin-Yi Yu: Evolution path and that can be observed. The first pattern is a cyclic transmission pattern will, and I only know is followed by now. Nina.
Jin-Yi Yu: Nina is followed by an El Nino. The second patent is episodic transmission pattern where an El Nino or La Nina is proceed in the previous year buyer neutral condition.
Jin-Yi Yu: And a certain pattern is a multi year transmission pattern where El Nino is followed by on you know organized, followed by now. Nina.
Jin-Yi Yu: So if we look at in the observation during 1948 to 2016 we're not in studies tradition, the order of his tradition capacity for El Nino is completely reverse
Jin-Yi Yu: From the order of the transition compressed in La Nina. So you can see through on the pattern on the top right on the top.
Jin-Yi Yu: Right on the bottom. So for El Nino, we notice that most of El Nino event during this period is is showing an episode The transmission pattern and followed by psychotic can
Jin-Yi Yu: Now, many of these arenas showing a multi years transmission pattern. But in contrast, the La Nina event during this period, showing allowable this multi year
Jin-Yi Yu: Evolution pattern and followed by cycling and this among by capacity. So this future indicate that the transmission pattern in
Jin-Yi Yu: Tradition compressed air Nina. Nina very, very different and particularly that we noticed Amina is dominated by the multi year transition pattern and
Jin-Yi Yu: In the, in the present day economy we see more multi year Amina then multi year El Nino. So we try to understand the reason for this El Nino nanny, not a symmetric
Jin-Yi Yu: So we already learned from Tucson 18 study guide, which tradition path and can occur depends on that arrow Nina or non event is trigger by a tropical Pacific process all triggered by subtropical Pacific process.
Jin-Yi Yu: So you will find out our EP El Nino Nanny nanny is triggered by the truck capacity process, such as those is quite party charge discharge pass rate a theory.
Jin-Yi Yu: We find out that this chocolate said process can to make the El Nino proceed. But Amina La Nina received by El Nino, so it is mechanism, try to put these are mostly psychotic
Jin-Yi Yu: And so transition make a nofollow para Nina. Nina para el nino so these tropical opposite I'm cemeteries and is not very useful to explain the multi multi year Amina instead or notice that the subtropical Pacific. I'll send mechanism.
Jin-Yi Yu: For those mechanism, the El Nino I'm set by nice mechanism can show the multi El Nino pattern Bonnie and I produced by this McKinnon can also put it
Jin-Yi Yu: Put showing the multi years finishing powder and more interesting knew that the subtropical onset mechanism tend to produce fuel more the El Nino