Mueller Lab: Publications

Selected publications

Bold indicates members of the lab group

2019

Qin, Y, ND Mueller, S Siebert, RB Jackson, A AghaKouchak, JB Zimmerman, D Tong, C Hong, and SJ Davis. 2019. Flexibility and intensity of global water use. Nature Sustainability
Monteiroa, LA, AM Alleeb, EE Campbellc, LR Lynd, JR Soaresa, D Jaiswala, JC Oliveiraa, M Santos Viannaa, AE Morishige, G Figueiredoa, R Lamparellid, ND Mueller, J Gerber, L Cortez, and JJ Sheehan. in press. Analysis of yield gaps on global grazed-only permanent pasture using climate binning. Global Change Biology

2018

Butler, EE, ND Mueller, and PJ Huybers. 2018. Peculiarly pleasant weather for U.S. maize. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (reply to comment)
Xie, W, W Xiong, J Pan, T Ali, Q Cui, D Guan, J Meng, ND Mueller, E Lin, and SJ Davis. 2018. Decreases in global beer supply due to extreme drought and heat. Nature Plants
Tallis, HM, PL Hawthorne, S Polasky, J Reid, MW Beck, KA Brauman, JM Bielicki, S Binder, MG Burgess, E Cassidy, A Clark, J Fargione, ET Game, JS Gerber, F Isbell, J Kiesecker, R McDonald, M Metian, JL Molnar, ND Mueller, CS O’Connell, D Ovando, M Troell, TM Boucher, and B McPeek. 2018. An attainable global vision for conservation and human well-being. Frontiers in Ecology and Environment
Davis, KF, C Dalin, R DeFries, JN Galloway, AM Leach, and ND Mueller. 2018. Sustainable pathways for meeting future food demand. Encyclopedia of Food Security and Sustainability
Kvakić, M, S Pellerin, P Ciais, DL Achat, L Augusto, P Denoroy, JS Gerber, D Goll, A Mollier, ND Mueller, X Wang, B Ringeval. 2018. Quantifying the limitation to world cereal production due to soil phosphorus status. Global Biogeochemical Cycles

2017

Mueller, ND, A Rhines, EE Butler, S Siebert, NM Holbrook, and P Huybers. 2017. Global relationships between cropland intensification and summer temperature extremes over the last 50 years. Journal of Climate
Garrett, RD, MT Niles, JDB Gil, A Gaudin, R Chaplin-Kramer, A Assmann, TS Assmann, K Brewer, PC de Faccio Carvalho, O Cortner, R Dynes, K Garbach, E Kebreab, ND Mueller, C Peterson, JC Reis, V Snow, J Valentim. 2017. Social and ecological analysis of commercial integrated crop livestock systems: Current knowledge and remaining uncertainty. Agricultural Systems
Mueller, ND, L Lassaletta, B Runck, G Billen, J Garnier, and JS Gerber. 2017. Declining spatial efficiency of global cropland nitrogen allocation. Global Biogeochemical Cycles (see also a News and Views article in Nature about the research: "A plan for efficient use of nitrogen fertilizer")
Carlson, KM, JS Gerber, ND Mueller, M Herrero, GK MacDonald, K Brauman, P Havlik, C O'Connell, JA Johnson, S Saatchi, and PC West. 2017. The greenhouse gas emissions intensity of global croplands. Nature Climate Change
Myers, S, MR Smith, S Guth, CD Golden, B Vaitla, ND Mueller, AD Dangour, and P Huybers. 2017. Climate change and global food systems: Potential impacts on food security and undernutrition. Annual Reviews of Public Health

2016

Mueller, ND, EE Butler, KA McKinnon, A Rhines, M Tingley, NM Holbrook, and PJ Huybers. 2016. Cooling of US Midwest summer temperature extremes from cropland intensification. Nature Climate Change
Niles, M and ND Mueller. 2016. Farmer perceptions of climate change: Associations with observed temperature and precipitation trends, irrigation, and climate beliefs. Global Environmental Change
Gerber, JS, KM Carlson, I Garcia de Cortazar, M Herrero, M Launay, D Makowski, ND Mueller, CS O'Connell, P Smith, and PC West. 2016. Spatially explicit N₂O emissions estimates suggest climate mitigation opportunities from improved nitrogen management. Global Change Biology
Jeong, J, JP Resop, ND Mueller, DH Fleisher, K Yun, EE Butler, DJ Timlin, K-M Shim, JS Gerber, VR Reddy, and S-H Kim. 2016. Random forests for regional crop yield modeling. PLoS One
Lassaletta, L, G Billen, J Garnier, L Bouwman, E Velazquez, ND Mueller, and JS Gerber. 2016. Nitrogen use in the global food system: Past trends and future trajectories of agronomic performance, pollution, trade, and dietary demand. Environmental Research Letters

2015

Mueller, ND and S Binder. 2015. Closing yield gaps: Consequences for the global food supply, environmental quality, and food security. Daedalus special issue on “The Future of Food, Health and the Environment of a Full Earth”
Elliott, J, C Müller, D Deryng, J Chryssanthacopoulos, KJ Boote, M Büchner, I Foster, M Glotter, J Heinke, T Iizumi, RC Izaurralde, ND Mueller, DK Ray, C Rosenzweig, AC Ruane, and J Sheffield. 2015. The Global Gridded Crop Model intercomparison: data and modeling protocols for Phase 1 (v1.0). Geoscientific Model Development
Flachsbarth, I, B Willaarts, H Xie, G Pitois, ND Mueller, C Ringler, and A Garrido. 2015. The role of Latin America’s land and water for global food security: Environmental trade-offs of future production pathways. PLoS One

2014

Mueller, ND, PC West, JS Gerber, GK MacDonald, S Polasky, and JA Foley. 2014. A tradeoff frontier for global nitrogen use and cereal production. Environmental Research Letters (see also a perspective article featuring the research)
Balkovič, J, M van der Velde, R Skalský, W Xiong, C Folberth, N Khabarov, A Smirnov, ND Mueller, M Obersteiner. 2014. Global wheat production potentials and management flexibility under the representative concentration pathways. Global and Planetary Change
Bennett, EM, SR Carpenter, LJ Gordon, N Ramankutty, P Balvanera, B Campbell, W Cramer, JA Foley, C Folke, L Karlberg, J Liu, H Lotze-Campen, ND Mueller, GD Peterson, S Polasky, J Rockström, RJ Scholes, M Spierenburg. 2014. Toward a more resilient agriculture. Solutions
Chaplin-Kramer, B, E Dombeck, JS Gerber, KA Knuth, ND Mueller, MP Mueller, G Ziv, and A-M Klein. 2014. Global malnutrition overlaps with pollinator-dependent micronutrient production. Proceedings of the Royal Society B – Biological Sciences
Laurance, WF, GR Clements, S Sloan, C O'Connell, ND Mueller, M Goosem, O Venter, DP Edwards, B Phalan, A Balmford, R van der Ree, IB Arrea. 2014. A global strategy for road building. Nature
West, PC, JS Gerber, PM Engstrom, ND Mueller, KA Brauman, ES Cassidy, M Johnston, GK MacDonald, S Siebert. 2014. Leverage points for improving global food security and environment. Science
Xiong, W, J Balkovič, M van der Velde, X Zhang, RC Izaurralde, R Skalský, E Lin, ND Mueller, M Obersteiner. 2014. A calibration procedure to improve global rice yield simulations with EPIC. Ecological Modelling

2013

Ray, DK, ND Mueller, PC West, and JA Foley. 2013. Crop yield trends are insufficient to double global food production by 2050. PLoS One
Van Wart, J, L van Bussel, J Wolf, R Licker, P Grassini, A Nelson, H Boogard, JS Gerber, ND Mueller, K Cassman, and M van Ittersum. 2013. The use of agro-climatic and agro-ecological zones to upscale yield gap analyses: a systematic review. Field Crops Research

2012

Mueller, ND, JS Gerber, DK Ray, N Ramankutty, and JA Foley. 2012. Closing yield gaps through nutrient and water management. Nature
Ray, DK, N Ramankutty, ND Mueller, PC West, and JA Foley. 2012. Recent patterns of crop yield growth and stagnation. Nature Communications

2011 and prior

Foley, JA, N Ramankutty, KA Brauman, ES Cassidy, JS Gerber, M Johnston, ND Mueller, C O'Connell, DK Ray, PC West, C Balzer, EM Bennett, SR Carpenter, J Hill, C Monfreda, S Polasky, J Rockström, J Sheehan, S Siebert, D Tilman, & DPM Zaks. 2011. Solutions for a cultivated planet. Nature
Johnston, M, R Licker, J Foley, T Holloway, ND Mueller, C Barford and C Kucharik. 2011. Closing the gap: global potential for increasing biofuel production through agricultural intensification. Environmental Research Letters
Ankley, GT, D Bencic, JE Cavallin, KM Jensen, MD Kahl, EA Makynen, D Martinović, ND Mueller, L Wehmas, and DL Villeneuve. 2009. Dynamic nature of alterations in the endocrine system of fathead minnows exposed to the fungicide prochloraz. Toxicological Sciences
Hulcr, J, SE Miller, GP Setliff, K Darrow, ND Mueller, PDN Hebert, and GD Weiblen. 2007. DNA barcoding confirms polyphagy in a generalist moth, Homona mermerodes (Lepidoptera: Tortricidae). Molecular Ecology Notes

Selected publications

Popular articles