With increasing concern over changing climate arises the need for better understanding of ecosystem responses and impacts on society. Fire is a key variable in this context, emitting an estimated 2-4 Pg of carbon into the atmosphere annually, and resulting in billions of dollars lost each year in property damage, suppression costs, health effects, and modified ecological services. Through my current work I hope to improve fire modeling and determine the most relevant predictors of temporal and spatial fire patterns, contributing to a better understanding of these often detrimental events and how they interface with societal and environmental systems. I am particularly interested in the interplay between anthropogenic predictor variables and fire parameters. This work will increase the accuracy of models and help us to understand what can be expected under future climate and development levels. It will also demonstrate what factors may be key in fire mitigation or prevention strategies.
Saturday, November 1, 2014