Quantifying errors in trace species transport modeling

TitleQuantifying errors in trace species transport modeling
Publication TypeJournal Article
Year of Publication2008
AuthorsPrather, M. J., Zhua X., Strahan S. E., Steenrod S. D., & Rodriguez J. M.
JournalProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
Volume105
Pagination19617-19621
Date Published12/2008
Type of ArticleArticle
ISBN Number0027-8424
Accession Numberhttp://apps.isiknowledge.com/InboundService.do?Func=Frame&product=WOS&action=retrieve&SrcApp=EndNote&Init=Yes&SrcAuth=ResearchSoft&mode=FullRecord&UT=000261802300011
Keywordsatmospheric transport; biogeochemical cycles; chemistry; co2; dynamics; formulations; general-circulation model; initiative assessment; model errors; numerical advection; Prather Modeling Lab; sensitivity; simulations; source inversions; uncertainties
Abstract

One expectation when computationally solving an Earth system model is that a correct answer exists, that with adequate physical approximations and numerical methods our solutions will converge to that single answer. With such hubris, we performed a controlled numerical test of the atmospheric transport of CO2 using 2 models known for accurate transport of trace species. Resulting differences were unexpectedly large, indicating that in some cases, scientific conclusions may err because of lack of knowledge of the numerical errors in tracer transport models. By doubling the resolution, thereby reducing numerical error, both models show some convergence to the same answer. Now, under realistic conditions, we identify a practical approach for finding the correct answer and thus quantifying the advection error.

URLpub/697
Alternate JournalProc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A.
ESS Associations
Research Area: 
Atmospheric Chemistry
Research Lab: 
Prather Research Group