<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><xml><records><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Pataki, D. E.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Emmi, P. C.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Forster, C. B.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Mills, J. I.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Pardyjak, E. R.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Peterson, T. R.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Thompson, J. D.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Dudley-Murphy, E.</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">An integrated approach to improving fossil fuel emissions scenarios with urban ecosystem studies</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Ecological Complexity</style></secondary-title><alt-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Ecol. Complex.</style></alt-title></titles><keywords><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Biocomplexity</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">canadian cities</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Carbon dioxide</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">carbon-dioxide</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">climate-change</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">CO2 emissions</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Mediated</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">modeling</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">regional energy demand</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">seasonal cycle</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">shade trees</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">terrestrial ecosystems</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">united-states</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">urban ecology</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">water-vapor</style></keyword></keywords><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2009</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">03/2009</style></date></pub-dates></dates><urls><web-urls><url><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">pub/689</style></url></web-urls></urls><number><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">1</style></number><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">6</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">1-14</style></pages><isbn><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">1476-945X</style></isbn><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">English</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">&lt;p&gt;The future trajectory of fossil fuel emissions is one of the largest uncertainties in predicting climate change. While global emissions scenarios are ultimately of interest for climate modeling, many of the factors that influence energy and fuel consumption operate on a local rather than global level. However, there have been relatively few comprehensive studies of the ecological and socioeconomic processes that will determine the future trajectory of net carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions at local and regional scales. We conducted an interdisciplinary, whole ecosystem study of the role of climate, urban expansion, urban form, transportation, and the urban forest in influencing net CO2 emissions in the Salt Lake Valley, Utah, a rapidly urbanizing region in the western U.S. Our approach involved a detailed emissions inventory validated with atmospheric measurements, as well as a system dynamics model of future CO2 emissions developed in collaboration with local stakeholders. The model highlighted the importance of a positive feedback between urban land development and transportation investments that may strongly affect emissions by amplifying declines in developmental densities and increases in vehicular traffic. Simulations suggested that while doubling the density of tree planting would have a negligible effect on total urban CO2 emissions, land use and transportation policies that dampen the intensity of the urban sprawl feedback could result in a 22% reduction in CO2 emissions by 2030 relative to a business as usual scenario. We suggest that by advancing our mechanistic understanding of energy and fuel consumption regionally, this urban ecosystem approach has great potential for improving emissions scenario studies if replicated in other cities and urbanizing regions. (C) 2008 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.&lt;/p&gt;</style></abstract><work-type><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Article</style></work-type><accession-num><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">ISI:000263512900001</style></accession-num><notes><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">&lt;p&gt;ISI Document Delivery No.: 409NQTimes Cited: 3Cited Reference Count: 69Cited References:      *DOE EIA, 2006, STAT EN PROF     *IPCC, 2001, CLIM CHANG 2001 SCI     *US DEP TRANSP, 1995, HIGHW STAT 1995     *US DEP TRANSP, 1999, 1999 STAT NAT SURF T     *US DEP TRANSP, 1999, HIGHW STAT 1999     *US DEP TRANSP, 2000, NAT TRANSP STAT 2000     *UT GEOL SURV, 2007, EN MIN STAT     AKBARI H, 1992, ENERGY, V17, P141     AKBARI H, 1997, ENERG BUILDINGS, V25, P139     AKBARI H, 2002, ENVIRON POLLUT S1, V116, S119     AKBARI H, 2005, ENERG POLICY, V33, P721, DOI 10.1016/j.enpol.2003.10.001     AMATO AD, 2005, CLIMATIC CHANGE, V71, P175, DOI     10.1007/s10584-005-5931-2     AUBINET M, 2000, ADV ECOL RES, V30, P113     BETSILL MM, 2001, LOCAL ENV, V6, P393     CANADELL JG, 2000, ECOSYSTEMS, V3, P115     CRAMER W, 2001, GLOBAL CHANGE BIOL, V7, P357     DECKER EH, 2000, ANNU REV ENERG ENV, V25, P685     DIAMOND HL, 1996, LAND USE AM     DUNLAP RE, 2000, J SOC ISSUES, V56, P425     EDMONDS J, 2000, CARBON CYCLE, P172     FARLEY KA, 2005, GLOBAL CHANGE BIOL, V11, P1565, DOI     10.1111/j.1365-2486.2005.01011.x     GIFFORD RM, 1994, AUST J PLANT PHYSIOL, V21, P1     GRIMMOND CSB, 1996, CLIMATE RES, V6, P45     GRIMMOND CSB, 2002, ENVIRON POLLUT S1, V116, S243     GRIMMOND CSB, 2004, FLUXNET 2004 OP WORK     HEIMANN M, 1998, GLOBAL BIOGEOCHEM CY, V12, P1     HUANG YJ, 1987, J CLIM APPL METEOROL, V26, P1103     IMHOFF ML, 2004, REMOTE SENS ENVIRON, V89, P434, DOI     10.1016/j.rse.2003.10.015     JACKSON RB, 2005, SCIENCE, V310, P1944, DOI 10.1126/science.1119282     KATES RW, 2003, GLOBAL CHANGE LOCAL, P143     KATES RW, 2003, GLOBAL CHANGE LOCAL, P2     KIRSHEN P, 2004, INTRASTRUCTURE SYSTE     KOUSKY C, 2003, CLIM POLICY, V3, P359, DOI 10.1016/j.clipol.2003.08.002     KUC T, 1998, RADIOCARBON 1, V40, P417     LANKAO PR, 2004, GLOBAL CARBON CYCLE     LEBEL L, 2004, GLOBAL CARBON CYCLE, P371     LECOMTE DM, 1981, J APPL METEOROL, V20, P1415     MACKELLAR FL, 1995, POPUL DEV REV, V21, P849     MCGUIRE AD, 2001, GLOBAL BIOGEOCHEM CY, V15, P183     MORIWAKI R, 2004, J APPL METEOROL, V43, P1700     MUELLER EC, 2005, INT J BIOMETEOROL, V49, P244, DOI     10.1007/s00484-004-0235-1     NAKICENOVIC N, 2000, IPCC SPECIAL REPORT     NEMITZ E, 2002, ENVIRON SCI TECHNOL, V36, P3139, DOI 10.1021/es010277e     NEWMAN P, 1999, SUSTAINABILITY CITIE     NOWAK DJ, 2002, ENVIRON POLLUT, V116, P381     PATAKI DE, 2003, J GEOPHYS RES-ATMOS, V108, ARTN 4735     PATAKI DE, 2005, J GEOPHYS RES-ATMOS, V110, ARTN D15102     PATAKI DE, 2005, STABLE ISOTOPES BIOS, P199     PATAKI DE, 2006, GEOPHYS RES LETT, V33, ARTN L03813     PATAKI DE, 2006, GLOBAL CHANGE BIOL, V12, P1     PATAKI DE, 2007, OECOLOGIA, V152, P307, DOI 10.1007/s00442-006-0656-0     PETERSON MN, 2005, CONSERV BIOL, V19, P762     PETERSON TR, 2004, MEDIATED MODELING SY, P136     QUAYLE RG, 1980, J APPL METEOROL, V19, P241     RAMAMURTHY P, 2004, UNDERSTANDING BEHAV     RUTH M, 2006, ENERG POLICY, V34, P2820, DOI 10.1016/j.enpol.2005.04.016     SAHELY HR, 2003, CAN J CIVIL ENG, V30, P468, DOI 10.1139/L02-105     SCHIMEL D, 2000, SCIENCE, V287, P2004     SCHIMEL DS, 1995, GLOBAL CHANGE BIOL, V1, P77     SCHIMEL DS, 2001, NATURE, V414, P169     SIEGENTHALER U, 1993, NATURE, V365, P119     SNOWDON P, 2002, 31 NAT CARB ACC SYST     SPRONKENSMITH RA, 2000, INT J CLIMATOL, V20, P1033     SUCKLING PW, 1983, ARCH METEOROLOGY GEO, V33, P219     TAHA H, 1991, THEOR APPL CLIMATOL, V44, P123     VOGT R, 2006, THEOR APPL CLIMATOL, V84, P117, DOI     10.1007/s00704-005-0149-9     WEBB EK, 1980, Q J ROY METEOR SOC, V106, P85     WIANT HV, 1977, AGR FOR EXP STA B T, V659     YEARLEY S, 2003, ENVIRON VALUE, V12, P247Pataki, D. E. Emmi, P. C. Forster, C. B. Mills, J. I. Pardyjak, E. R. Peterson, T. R. Thompson, J. D. Dudley-Murphy, E.U.S. National Science Foundation [ATM 02157658]This research was funded by U.S. National Science Foundation grant ATM 02157658. We thank our community partners and stakeholder participantsElsevier science bvAmsterdam&lt;/p&gt;</style></notes><auth-address><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">&lt;p&gt;[Pataki, D. E.] Univ Calif Irvine, Dept Earth Syst Sci, Irvine, CA 92697 USA. [Pataki, D. E.] Univ Calif Irvine, Dept Ecol &amp;amp; Evolutionary Biol, Irvine, CA 92697 USA. [Emmi, P. C.; Forster, C. B.; Mills, J. I.] Univ Utah, Coll Architecture Planning, Salt Lake City, UT 84112 USA. [Pardyjak, E. R.] Univ Utah, Dept Mech Engn, Salt Lake City, UT 84112 USA. [Peterson, T. R.] Texas A&amp;amp;M Univ, Dept Wildlife &amp;amp; Fisheries Sci, College Stn, TX 77842 USA. [Thompson, J. D.] Colorado State Univ, Dept Human Dimens Nat Resources, Ft Collins, CO 80523 USA. [Dudley-Murphy, E.] Univ Utah, Energy &amp;amp; Geosci Inst, Salt Lake City, UT 84112 USA.Pataki, DE, Univ Calif Irvine, Dept Earth Syst Sci, Irvine, CA 92697 USA.dpataki@uci.edu&lt;/p&gt;</style></auth-address></record></records></xml>